03:41:49
英国《金融时报》2月1日报道：“一位美国跨国公司在北京的高级主管说：‘他们现在非常自信，自信到认为所有人都想和他们作生意，因为他们是中国。’......中国人在同一批国家打交道时脾气越来越大了。去年，北京在西藏问题上同欧盟发生冲突，在哥本哈根气候变化大会上同几个成员国发生冲突。中国和印度的关系再度紧张......。
英国《卫报》1月31日一篇文章说：“中国发出更加强硬的反应，其背后的原因是中国和美国之间实力平衡的变化，这种变化在全球金融危机之后十分明显。北京处于比过去更有力的位置，而且因此在一些议题上的态度上表现出来，从气候变化问题上的态度，到经济自信心越来越强。”“中国的经济实力使她的影响无所不至，而且未来还会大幅度增长。......北京的反应会使任何未来的美国政府在对台军售方面更加谨慎。”
《纽约时报》2月1日的一篇新闻分析说：“在过去的一年里，中国对美国采取了越来越强硬的立场，在全球经济危机问题上训斥美国官员，在去年11月操纵奥巴马总统对中国的访问，在哥本哈根拒绝支持更严格的气候变化协议，而且在联合国安理会坚决反对美国提出的对伊朗进行新的更严厉的制裁要求。”“一些美国政府官员私下表示，宣布对台军售的时间和对伊朗使用更强硬的语言是精心安排的，目的是向北京发出信息，不要以为奥巴马总统会在美国安全和执行现存协议方面对北京让步。”“一个政府高级官员说：‘这是为了明白无误地表示，我们会根据我们自己的国家利益而行动。’”“除了在阿富汗和伊拉克的战争以外，处理美国同中国的关系是奥巴马最大的外交政策挑战。中国经济正在有力地增长，握有大量资金，已经成为美国的最大外国债权国之一。中国也在影响力方面和经济实力方面成为美国越来越重要的贸易伙伴和全球对手。”
《华盛顿邮报》1月31日的一篇分析文章说：“中国对美国宣布对台军售计划作出的愤怒反应看来同北京新的胜利者姿态相一致。这种姿态使世界各国政府和分析人士感到担忧。从哥本哈根气候变化会议，到互联网自由，到中印边界，观察中国事务的人士注意到中国政府、中国代表、以及国家智囊机构有影响力的分析人士口气强硬。”
前美国国家安全委员会高级官员、目前在布鲁金斯学会的肯尼斯·利伯索尔说：“中国的态度发生了变化。中国人发现，人们正在以惊人的速度越来越把中国视为全球大国。这给他们一种满足感。”
利伯索尔说，形成中国新口气的另一个原因是中国感到，在被西方盘剥两个世纪以后，中国正在恢复世界大国的角色。
这种新态势使西方政府官员和分析人士感到困惑：这只是中国口气的变化，还是中国的政策也在变化？”
“对于欧洲和印度，中国强硬的口吻更加明显。2008年秋季，在法国总统萨科齐会晤流亡的西藏领导人达赖喇嘛之后，中国取消了同欧盟的首脑会议。在那之前，中国谴责德国总理默克尔同这位西藏精神领袖的交往。在最近几个星期，中国同英国官员由于中国在气候会议上阻止达成广泛协议而发生了激烈交锋。”
*中国制裁美国，谁怕谁？*
《纽约时报》2月4日刊登的一篇评论说：“从长远看，谁从美中贸易和投资的巨大增长中获得了最大的好处？
在中国加入世界贸易组织之前的很多年里，中国从美国获得了很多优惠。美国让中国进入自己的市场，获得美国的资本，以及很多美国的技术，以便鼓励中国发展市场经济和私营经济。”“其它国家和地区(日本、韩国、台湾和德国)都在中国以贸易为引导的现代化过程中发挥了重要作用，不过都是追随美国的结果。”“美国消费者也受益了。但是如果供货商是墨西哥或者其它友好、开放和民主的邻国，美国也会照样受益。”“谁都不想发生贸易战。但是一旦发生，相比仍然依赖外国市场和外国公司的技术和投资的半现代化的中国来说，美国处于更有利的位置。”
英国《金融时报》2月3日的评论说：“如果中国真的制裁波音等美国大企业，可能会掀起一轮针锋相对的贸易制裁，而中国的损失将会远大于美国。”“北京应竭力克制，避免采取任何可能引发贸易战的举动，否则不但将危害世界，更会危害作为世界最大制造品出口国的中国。”
英国《金融时报》2月1日报道：“对外国军火商实施贸易制裁，以惩罚它们向台湾供应武器，可能给中国带来事与愿违的负面效应，包括损害中国国内工业，使中国违反国际贸易规则，并削弱中国以具有竞争力的价格采购设备的能力。”
“香港民航处前处长、中国两大国有航空公司──国航和东航前董事乐巩南表示：‘我不认为他们会完全抛弃波音，因为他们需要有这张牌，以便对欧洲人施压。’”“分析师们表示，空客得到的任何额外好处都可能是短暂的。2008年北京奥运会之前，当法国政府表现出同情达赖喇嘛时，该公司也是中方愤怒的目标。”
“一名航空业高管表示，他们很可能给(波音)六个月的脸色看，订购20架空客飞机，然后让一切平静下来。”
就连中国荆楚网2月1日的一篇评论也说：“鉴于之前与欧洲生气，就买波音飞机，与美国生气就反其道而行之的过往经验，此等制裁也应该相当有限。”
美国之音2月1日报道：“华盛顿尼克松中心的中国研究部主任唐安竹说，制裁美国公司做法会起到反作用。他说，......制裁这些公司同样会损害中国自己的利益。包括波音和西科斯基飞机公司在内的几家对台出售武器的公司在中国都有投资，例如制造‘黑鹰’直升机的西科斯基飞机公司在中国雇佣了数千员工。唐安竹认为，中国制裁这些公司，等于在制裁自己的工人。至于波音公司，他说，中国迫切需要波音的技术来发展自己的飞机制造技术。”
美国之音2月2日报道：“美国《国防新闻》周刊亚洲部负责人温德尔.梅尼克说：‘我不认为中方会让他们和波音公司或者是西科斯基公司之间的商业关系受到影响。他们需要这些公司来帮助拓展本国的航空领域。中方有可能会针对和中国来往不多的某个公司，进行象征性的制裁。’”
不过，也有西方媒体的报道指出，美中关系恶化会对美国的长远经济利益不利。《新闻周刊》2月2日报道：“美中关系恶化，从总的利弊权衡来看，可能不利于美国的长远经济利益。如果中国对美国公司采取惩罚措施，华盛顿在创造就业机会、对中国出口、以及中国在被低估的人民币升值问题上可能的让步上都会失去更多。由于中国持有最多的美国债务，北京即使稍微暗示可能减少购买美国债券，都可能造成全球金融市场不稳，影响脆弱的美国恢复经济。”
[G翻译]
Western media reports indicate that the Western countries feel that China's extraordinary past obviously tough. Voice of America, February 1 reports: "Experts point out that the sanctions the U.S. company's decision shows that with the economic strength, China has been increasingly willing to use economic strength to promote the realization of political goals." "Washington think tank Brookings Sri Lanka Society Thornton China Center, Research Director and Senior Fellow Cheng Li in an interview with VOA, said that China has been a United States arms sales to Taiwan's "blacklist", but this is the first time the Chinese government publicly announced that to sanction those companies, which is China's growing economic strength is not Unrelated. "
Britain's "Financial Times" reported February 1: "a U.S. multinational companies, senior director in Beijing, said: 'They are now very confident, confident enough to think that everyone wants to do business with them, because they are Chinese.'. ..... the Chinese people in dealing with a number of countries more and more of his temper. Last year, Beijing on the Tibet issue in conflict with the European Union, Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen, with several members of conflict. China and India Relations became strained again ......。
British "Guardian" January 31 a The article said: "China as a more hard-line response, the reasons behind China and the change in the balance of power between the United States, this change in the global financial crisis is very obvious. Beijing is in a stronger position than in the past, and therefore in some attitude on the issue manifested, from the attitude on the issue of climate change, and the economic self-confidence is growing. "" China's economic strength so that nothing is to her influence, but the future will be a substantial increase 。..... . Beijing's reaction to make any future U.S. government arms sales to Taiwan to be more careful. "
"New York Times," February 1 Day of a news analysis, said: "In the past year, China has taken an increasingly tough U.S. stance on the global economic crisis reprimanded the U.S. officials, in November last year, manipulation of Obama's visit to China by President , in Copenhagen has refused to support a more stringent agreement on climate change, but also in the United States firmly opposed to the UN Security Council against Iran, a new, more stringent sanctions would require. "" some U.S. government officials have privately said that arms sales to Taiwan announced the time and right Iran's hard-line language is the use of more elaborate arrangements, the aim is to send a message to Beijing, do not think that President Obama will be in the United States security and the implementation of the current Deposit agreements, concessions to Beijing. "" A senior government official said: 'This is to clearly and that we will be according to our own national interests and actions. ' "" In addition to the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, other than to deal with the U.S. relationship with China is Obama's biggest foreign policy challenges. China's economy is growing strongly and hold a lot of money, has become one of America's biggest foreign creditor. China is also for influence and economic strength to become an increasingly important trading partner of the United States and global rivals. "
"Washington Post" 1 31, an analysis of the text Zhang said: "China's arms sales to the United States announced plans to make an angry reaction from Beijing's new with the winner appears to be consistent stance. This attitude makes the world's governments and analysts worried. From the Copenhagen Climate Change Conference, to the Internet freedom, the Sino-Indian border to observe Chinese affairs who noted that the Chinese government and representatives, as well as national think tank of influential analyst firm tone. "
Former U.S. National Security Council senior official who is now at the Brookings Institution Kennisili Birdsall said: "China's attitude has changed. Chinese people found that people are Increasingly at an alarming rate in China as a global power. This gives them a sense of satisfaction. "
Liberthal said that the formation of China's new tone, another reason is that China felt exploited in the West two centuries later, China is to resume the role of world power.
This new trend of the West of government officials and analysts confused: This is just the changes in tone in China, or China's policy has also changed? "
"For Europe and India, China, a tough tone more obvious. 2008 fall of the French President Nicolas Qi met with the exiled Tibetan leader the Dalai Lama, China canceled a summit with the European Union. Before that, China condemned the German Chancellor Angela Merkel with the Tibetan spiritual leader contacts. In recent weeks, China and British officials at the climate conference as China reached a broad agreement to stop a fierce battle took place. "
* China sanctions against the United States, is more afraid? *
"The New York Times" published on February 4 a commentary, said: "In the long run, who from the US-China trade and investment in exponential growth in the greatest benefit?
Britain's "Financial Times" of February 3, commented: "If China is serious sanctions, Boeing and other U.S. big business, you may set off a tit for tat trade sanctions, while China's loss will be much greater than the United States." "Beijing should utmost restraint and avoid any action that could trigger a trade war moves, otherwise will not only endanger the world, but could pose as the world's largest exporter of manufactured goods in China. "
"The Hong Kong Civil Aviation Department, the former Director of China's two major state-owned airline Air China and China Eastern ─ ─ former director of Le Gong Nan, said: 'I do not think they will completely abandon Boeing, because they need to have this card in order to put pressure on the Europeans . ' "" analysts say, air Passengers receive any additional benefits are likely to be short-lived. Prior to the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games, when the French government showed sympathy for the Dalai Lama, the company is also China's angry targets. "
"An aviation industry executives said they are likely to have (Boeing) for six months face to see, order 20 Airbus aircraft, and then let everything calm down."
Even the Chinese Jingchu Net February 1 commentary also said: "In view of Europe before and angry, she bought Boeing aircraft, with the United States angry on the opposite of past experience, such sanctions should also be quite Limit. "
Voice of America, February 1 reports: "China, the Nixon Center in Washington, director of research TANG Zhu said that the sanctions the practice of U.S. companies would be counter-productive. ,...... Sanctions, he said those same companies would harm China's own interests . including Boeing and Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation to sell weapons to Taiwan, including several companies that have investments in China, such as the manufacture of 'Black Hawk' helicopter, Sikorsky Aircraft Corp. in China, employs thousands of staff. TANG bamboo that the , China's sanction these companies, equal to sanction their own workers. As for Boeing, he said, China's urgent need to wave Sound technologies to develop its own aircraft manufacturing technology. "
Voice of America, February 2 reports: "U.S." Defense News "weekly Asia director for Wendell. Meinecke said: 'I do not think the Chinese side will make them and Boeing or Sikorsky's business relationship between companies subject to influence. They need these companies to help expand the country's aviation sector. China is likely to be targeted and China, and from a small company in a symbolic sanctions. ' "
However, there is the Western media reported that deterioration in US-China relations will have long-term economic benefits the United States, Unfavorable benefit. "Newsweek" reported February 2: "US-China relations deteriorate, the overall trade-offs from the point of view, may not be conducive to long-term economic interests of the United States. If the Chinese companies to adopt punitive measures against the United States, Washington, in the creation of employment opportunities for the Chinese exports, and China's undervalued yuan revaluation on the issue of a possible compromise would be to lose more. As China holds the most U.S. debt, even slightly hinted that Beijing might reduce purchases of U.S. bonds are likely to cause instability in global financial markets, affecting the fragile U.S. economic recovery. "
 |
|